eastcoast

PICKS	STAKES	PROFIT
2032	18351	-120.4
YIELD	AVG ✓ ODDS	AVG ✗ ODDS
-1%	1.97	2.05
Full stats / Picks archive

Levante-Sevilla (void)

Levante have collected just 5 points from their opening six matches, yet their home attacking numbers deserve attention. Against Betis and Barcelona, they generated 2.76 and 2.42 expected goals respectively — a combined 5.18 — highlighting a clear home-away divide.

Sevilla sit on 13 points, but their attacking output has exceeded chance quality. Over seven rounds, their cumulative xG is only 6.94, yet they have scored 10. Away from home, they have 2 wins and 1 draw from three matches, with just 2.52 xG but 5 goals. That unbeaten away record carries weight, but such conversion is unlikely to sustain.

Levante's front line is energetic and interchanges frequently, capable of dragging Sevilla's defence out of shape and exploiting space on both sides of the box. Sevilla's coach himself acknowledged that Levante play proactively with varied attacking options, and their points tally understates their performances. With Sevilla favoured in reputation but lacking resistance, Levante look the value.

Pick:Levante -0.

Published: 12-10-2026, 17:17 CET Pick: Levante+0
Odds: 1.95 at Pinnacle

Category: Spanish football
Date: 12-10-2026
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)

papyo 12-10-2026, 20:39

On the contrary over performing on xG suggests they have a proper plan and create situations they know how to finish. `Sustaining` scoring fewer than xG suggests is far more common. Chelsea put 5 past Bournemouth with xg of just over 1.00. The question here is can levante score if not then you`re looking for a push.. sevilla may be shit in terms of xg but defense isn`t terrible if they put their minds to it can hold out for a 0-0

GAMEPICK	TIPSTER
22-10 Sardarapat - Urartu Over 5.5 Goals, 9.5 @ Paddy PowerOver 5.5 Goals	hovi
22-10 Borac Banja Luka - KuPS Borac Banja Luka to Win, 1.85 @ 1xBetBorac Banja Lu..	hovi
22-10 Borac Banja Luka - KuPS NEW KuPS +0.5, 2.56 @ PinnacleKuPS +0.5	abdulalhazred
22-10 Bournemouth vs AC Milan 1, 1.98 @ Pinnacle1	eastcoast
22-10 Hoffenheim - Lyon BTTS + 2.5 over, 1.66 @ bet365BTTS + 2.5 over	GenesisTips
22-10 Jablonec vs Brighton BTS-Yes, 2.1 @ bet365BTS-Yes	spkutano
22-10 Jagiellonia - Anderlecht NEW draw, 3.67 @ 1xBetdraw	The_Tabak
22-10 Kauno Zalgiris - Brann Zalgiris Kaunas Over 1 Goal, 2.15 @ 22betZalgiris Kauna..	gratisoddstips
22-10 Monaco - Freiburg BTTS, 1.58 @ bet365BTTS	GenesisTips
22-10 Nordsjaelland - CSKA Sofia 1 BTTS, 1.73 @ bet365BTTS	GenesisTips
22-10 Pafos - Riga FC Over 2.5, 1.72 @ bet365Over 2.5	psyhz
22-10 Sturm Graz vs Marseille 2, 2.05 @ Paddy Power2	eastcoast
22-10 Thun - Hajduk Split Over 2,5 goals, 1.65 @ bet365Over 2,5 goals	KaskaderBets
22-10 Trabzonspor - Hearts Trabzonspor(-4)EH, 10.86 @ PinnacleTrabzonspor(-4..	hovi
22-10 Trabzonspor vs Hearts Trabzonspor Over 2.5 Goals, 1.9 @ 1xBetTrabzonspor Ov..	Bangladesch
22-10 Trabzonspor- Hearts Over 3.25, 1.87 @ PinnacleOver 3.25	London0Hull4
22-10 Universidad de Chile (F) vs Deport.. Deportivo Cali HA 0, 1.8 @ MarathonbetDeportivo Cali..	Amadeus
23-10 VFB Stuttgart-Borussia Monchenglad.. Gladbach, 1.86 @ bet365Gladbach	Gameiro
24-10 Aston Villa vs Manchester City Manchester City, 1.72 @ PinnacleManchester City	SirMasaryk
24-10 Chelsea vs Tottenham Chelsea, 1.79 @ PinnacleChelsea	SirMasaryk
24-10 Paderborn vs Hamburg DC Hamburg, 1.7 @ PinnacleDC Hamburg	SirMasaryk
25-10 Marseille vs Le Havre AH -0.75 Marseille, 1.73 @ PinnacleAH -0.75 Marse..	SirMasaryk

	Details	Visit ⇗
	Details	Visit ⇗
	Details	Visit ⇗
	Details	Visit ⇗
	Details	Visit ⇗